Information Articles

Election Day Forecast: Could Weather Have an Impact?

By Brian Donegan

Published Nov 2 2016 06:43 PM EDT

What’s Your Super Tuesday Forecast?

Meteorologist Kait Parker forecasts showers for a couple of the swing states, but clear skies for the East and West Coast.
What’s Your Super Tuesday Forecast?

Story Highlights
No major storms are expected for Election Day.

Much of the United States will be dry with above-average temperatures.

At the moment, the best chance of rain appears to be in the Midwest, southern Plains and Pacific Northwest.

Election Day is less than a week away, and you may be wondering what conditions will be like as you head out to the polls Tuesday. Could the weather possibly turn the Senate race, or even the presidency?

While the weather pattern early next week is a tricky one that computer models typically don’t handle well this far out, we’re not expecting a major storm anywhere in the U.S.

However, some inclement weather is possible in a few spots. Let’s take a region-by-region tour of Tuesday’s forecast.


Fortunately, a stronger area of low pressure should remain sufficiently offshore, southeast of Atlantic Canada, to have zero impact on the weather near the Northeast seaboard.

There is a cold front that will push toward the eastern Great Lakes, with a threat of rain associated with that. Typical for a forecast this far out, the timing of that feature is in question, but the best chance of rain appears to be after the polls close Tuesday evening from western New York to West Virginia.

Elsewhere, the weather should be dry.

Highs will be above average for the second week of November, generally in the 50s in New York state and New England, and 60s from New York City southward into the mid-Atlantic states.


While most of the Southeast is looking dry at the moment, there’s a risk for a few showers and thunderstorms in the Tennessee and lower Mississippi valleys into the southern Plains. This includes cities such as New Orleans and Houston.

Temperatures will be up to 15 degrees above average across the region, translating to highs in the 70s to perhaps even near 80 degrees in the Deep South.


A cold front will be sliding across the Midwest on Election Day, bringing chances for showers out ahead of it. Since this is still several days away, the exact position of the front Tuesday is difficult to pinpoint.

Right now, it appears the best threat of showers will be from the Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley. This includes cities such as Cincinnati, Indianapolis and St. Louis.

If the front slows down, the showers would set up farther to the west. If it speeds up, they’d set up farther east. Stay tuned for updates over the next several days.


The only hiccup in the forecast may be a weak Pacific system bringing rain to western Washington, Oregon and northern California.

The rest of the West is currently expected to be dry and pleasant with sunshine and above-average temperatures. 

Highs will range from the 50s and 60s across the Northwest, to the 70s and 80s in Southern California and the Desert Southwest.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s